Mudge Team Research · Q1 2026

Inland Empire Industrial Market Report — Q1 2026

Vacancy, asking rents, sale pricing, absorption, construction, and the Mudge Team’s broker-level read on the Inland Empire industrial market in Q1 2026.

By David Mudge Jr. · Published August 12, 2026
8.0%
Blended vacancy
$1.00/SF NNN
Asking rent
-1.77M SF
West 12-mo net absorption
7.85M SF
East 12-mo gross absorption
4.36M SF
Under construction
663.0M SF
Industrial inventory

The market was split by geography and building size

The Inland Empire was really two markets in Q1 2026. The West reached 6.09% vacancy while the East climbed to 10.31%, producing an inventory-weighted regional vacancy rate near 8%. Asking rents reset to approximately $1.05/SF/month NNN in the West and $0.95 in the East. Tenants were still transacting, but they were negotiating harder.

The story owners needed to watch was segmentation. Buildings under 100,000 SF, and especially under 50,000 SF, continued to trade and lease at a fraction of the vacancy carried by the big-box segment. Owner-user demand backed by SBA financing remained the most resilient bid in the market.

Industrial Outdoor Storage moved differently from conventional warehouses. Inland Empire IOS rents held near $0.10–$0.13 per land square foot per month, and tighter entitlement standards made legal yards increasingly difficult to replace.

Q1 deal-weighted sale averages were $277/SF in the IE West and $254/SF in the East, but the same quarter produced a much wider range by class and building size. Averages were context, not a substitute for comparable sales.
Submarket Comparison

Where conditions differ

SubmarketVacancyAsking NNNSale $/SFConstruction
Ontario / Airport6.2%$1.08$2751,050,000 SF
Rancho Cucamonga5.4%$1.12$290310,000 SF
Fontana6.3%$1.04$265780,000 SF
Jurupa Valley / Rialto6.6%$1.01$255500,000 SF
Riverside9.2%$0.96$250340,000 SF
Corona7.8%$1.05$270120,000 SF
Moreno Valley / Perris12.8%$0.89$225820,000 SF
San Bernardino / Redlands11.4%$0.92$235440,000 SF

Submarket figures are Mudge Team estimates calibrated to the published regional reports listed below.

Building-Size Segmentation

The average does not describe every building

Under 25,000 SF

$250–$300/SF sale · $1.25 NNN

The tightest segment in the market. Owner-user demand on SBA debt keeps multiple offers common; effectively no new small-bay supply has been built since the 1980s.

25,000 – 50,000 SF

$230–$270/SF sale · $1.15 NNN

Strong owner-user and regional-logistics demand. Availability runs well below the big-box segment.

50,000 – 100,000 SF

$205–$245/SF sale · $1.05 NNN

Mid-bay holds up well: large enough for serious distribution, small enough to dodge the big-box supply glut.

100,000 – 250,000 SF

$175–$215/SF sale · $0.95 NNN

Institutional territory. Q1 pricing split sharply by class, with new Class A product clearing well above older buildings.

250,000+ SF

$110–$180/SF sale · $0.85 NNN

The big-box segment drove the soft Q1 headlines. Published transactions showed a wide spread between older Class B and new Class A buildings.

Use the report to make a property decision

Regional figures are context. A lease, purchase, or sale decision still turns on the building, the submarket, and the live comparable set. Start with the inventory or ask the team for a building-specific analysis.

Sources and methodology

Regional fundamentals are drawn from published Lee & Associates Inland Empire East and West research. IOS benchmarks use the cited sector research. Mudge Team submarket and size-segment figures are estimates anchored to those publications and direct transaction experience.

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